Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (2024)

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (1)

David Rosenberg

May 16, 2024 10:42 am ET

With a 26-25 record, Florida is at risk of missing the NCAA Tournament for the first time under Kevin O’Sullivan. The Gators need to win at least two of three games against Georgia this weekend to breathe easy heading into the SEC Tournament, but the Bulldogs are surging and living up to a top-10 ranking.

Both teams have elite power in the middle of the lineup, but Florida will be down a bat with Ty Evans likely out for the rest of the year with a wrist injury. That means Florida will need to lean on its young pitching staff, which has shown more promise in recent weeks but still lacks the experience to be truly confident in.

Neither team played a midweek game, so both bullpens are fully loaded heading into Thursday’s opener. Here is a closer look at the upcoming series between Florida and Georgia.

Projected Starting Lineup

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (2)

David Rosenberg/Gators Wire

PositionNameAVGOBPSLGABRHHRRBI
CatcherLuke Heyman.239.355.45719735471135
First BaseJac Caglianone.418.529.86219662822855
Second BaseCade Kurland.257.354.47018337471033
Third BaseDale Thomas.237.377.376931322217
ShortstopColby Shelton.261.378.58819950521844
Left FieldTyler Shelnut.267.373.55618735501344
Center FieldMichael Robertson.228.290.3251141926114
ORJaylen Guy.146.344.167486702
Right FieldHayden Yost.284.400.35810101904
Designated HitterBrody Donay.282.347.58211022311021

With Evans out of the lineup, Hayden Yost is shifting to right field, Tyler Shelnut is moving back to a full-time outfield role in left and Dale Thomas is once again the everyday third baseman.

Probable Starters: Thursday (6 p.m. ET)

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (3)

David Rosenberg/Gators Wire

TEAMPLAYERRECORDERA
FloridaLHP Pierce Coppola0-27.27
GeorgiaRHP Kolten Smith8-24.72

Pierce Coppola continues to improve with every start but the next step is letting him go longer in games. He should get to go about 70 pitches this time around after ramping up over the past few weeks. Against Kentucky, he threw 64 pitches and allowed just one unearned run.

Kolten Smith is a starter-reliever hybrid who is ranked third in the conference in strikeouts during SEC play. He features a fastball that runs up to 95 mph which he mixes with a changeup that’s good against batters on both sides of the plate. His slider can sometimes miss, but no one touches it when he lets it go right, according to D1Baseball’s Joe Healy.

Probable Starters: Friday (6 p.m. ET)

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (4)

Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union

TEAMPLAYERRECORDERA
FloridaRHP Liam Peterson2-45.92
GeorgiaRHP Leighton Finley5-14.45

Liam Peterson is coming off his first quality start as a Gator and the goal is to repeat that performance against another top-10 opponent, and arguably the best hitter in the country. The biggest change for Peterson is that he’s learned to limit home runs. After giving up 12 homers in his first seven appearances, Peterson has allowed just one in his last six.

Leighton Finley has been consistent all season, and his 5.11 earned run average against SEC teams isn’t so bad considering he’s the only constant in the weekend rotation for Georgia. Finley’s at his best when his slider is working. The action on it is tighter than other sweeper-style sliders you might see, but that allows him to control the pitch better. His fastball comes in comfortably between 92-95 mph, and a mid-80s changeup can keep him going deep into games.

Probable Starters: Saturday (2 p.m. ET)

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (5)

Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images

TEAMPLAYERRECORDERA
FloridaLHP Jac Caglianone5-14.07
GeorgiaTBA

It’s nice that Florida has Jac Caglianone to rely on to close out the season, but Florida could blow the series before he even gets on the mound. We know what to expect with Caglianone. A mid-to-high-90s fastball, a big sweeping slider and a changeup that fools batters on both sides. As long as Florida scores a few runs, Saturday should be a win.

Georgia hasn’t announced a starter for Saturday’s game, giving Florida even more of the upper hand.

Other Players to Watch

Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (6)

Syndication: Gator Sports

All eyes will be on Jac Caglianone and Charlie Condon (.454/.567/1.082, 34 HR) this weekend as the two best hitters in baseball square off. Condon has already broken Caglianone’s modern-era record of 33 home runs in a season. It would only be fitting for him to extend that record off Cags, right?

There’s also Corey Collins to worry about. The senior first baseman is batting .367 with a 1.398 on-base-plus-slugging percentage. His 16 home runs don’t seem like much next to Caglianone and Condon, but Collins has the second-most pop in the lineup.

Series History

OVERALL193-115-2
HOME102-45-1
ROAD86-64-1
NEUTRAL5-6

How to Watch

THURSDAY (6 p.m. ET)

FRIDAY (1 p.m. ET)

SATURDAY (2 p.m. ET)

Prediction

Game 1: Florida 9, Georgia 8

Game 2: Florida 7, Georgia 3

Game 3: Florida 5, Georgia 1

There is very little evidence to support a Florida sweep here, but it’s not out of the question if the Gators play to their full potential. Putting it all together is not exactly what the 2024 Florida baseball team does, but it’s never a bad time to kick poor habits. Florida needs two here to stay alive, but three gives the team some momentum heading into Hoover.

Prediction: Florida sweeps and gets stronger with each game.

Read more

Florida’s Jac Caglianone named a John Olerud Award semifinalist

Florida baseball enters final regular season series just outside RPI top 25

Taking a look at the Week 13 D1Baseball rankings

SEC dominating top 25 in latest USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Florida baseball wrapping up regular season with must-win series at Georgia (2024)
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